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Decision-making framework

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Decision making

Text description of figure:

The figure shows a decision tree for determining a climate change hazard. The first step is to establish the context of the hazard, activity or plan to be considered.

Is the activity, plan or hazard sensitive to climate change? If it is not sensitive to climate change, no further analysis is required, but regular reviews are performed. If the activity plan or hazard is sensitive to climate change, identify the relevant climate factors. Develop preliminary scenarios of how these factors and any relevant socio-economic conditions may change in your area. Consider both upper and lower ranges for climate change effects. Undertake an initial screening assessment of likely impacts.

Does the screening assessment suggest significant impacts and/or inadequate information? If it does not, no further analysis is required, but regular reviews are recommended. If there are signficant impacts suggested by the screening assessment:

  • Undertake a detailed quantitiative analysis
  • Evaluate risks and priorities and prioritise these against other risks and opportunities
  • Use results in decisions about the activity, plan or hazard. Carry information forward into other relevant council activities and plans.